Shane Mosley has a bigger chance in beating Manny Pacquiao than what most people and oddsmakers think. You better believe it.
For starters, I firmly believe that Mosley has a better shot at beating Pacquiao than Antonio Margarito ever did. Consider this: On his best night, based on his skill set, I truly believe that Margarito, had a very slim chance at best, in beating Pacquiao. After his handwraps controversy, the Tijuana Tornado has not shown the same pop in his punches. He’s too slow and lacking in technique to counterpunch and frustrate Pacquiao. To be honest with you, I think the Margarito that fought Pacquiao in November was the best possible Margarito. Pacquiao on the other hand, not so much.
<– Click here for photos of Mosley’s media day workout from Big Bear
But as far as Sugar Shane is concerned, I definitely believe that if he comes in at his best, and Manny isn’t on his p’s and q’s or allows himself to be trapped against the ropes like he did with Margarito, the faster and harder-punching Mosley can definitely knock him out. Believe it. We’ve read and heard all about Shane being on father time, and all the criticisms about his ‘deterioration’. That’s all fair and dandy now, but didn’t we all think the same about Erik Morales’ chances against Marcos Maidana last weekend too? And what are the chances of a Japanese journeyman fighter who had all but seven knockouts out of 22 wins, to knock out an undefeated rising star who had never been dropped? And here’s the kicker, how about drop him three times in the first round while he’s at it.
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In boxing, anything can happen. You can’t count Mosley out. No, really.
Figure this. Do you think Ishida and Morales had a better shot of beating their opponents than Mosley scoring an upset against Pacquiao? I say no. I don’t know what the odds were on the Kirkland-Ishida fight, but it had to be something like 25-1. And other than his most firm believers, people in boxing were fearing for “El Terrible’s” welfare on facing Maidana. Mosley has been fighting at welterweight up since the turn of the century when Pacquiao was campaigning as a super bantamweight. Mosley has faced harder and bigger punchers in their primes, but has never been knocked out.
Boxingscene and Filipino Reporter Newspaper boxing scribe, Filipino-American Ryan Songalia shared his insight with me on the matter:
“I don’t think it’d be inconceivable for Mosley to defeat Pacquiao. Douglas beat Tyson, that was a 42-1 upset. Ishida just beat Kirkland, that was a 30-1 upset. This isn’t that far of a stretch.
Mosley is getting old, old enough to say that his best days are behind him and never coming back, but that’s what we always say about Mosley.
Mosley was supposed to have no chance against Oscar de la Hoya the first time, he beat him. Mosley was said to be finished before the rematch against de la Hoya, he beat him again. He was supposed to be stopped by Cotto and gave him a good fight, and then he turns in one of his career’s best performances against Margarito.”
You also have to consider that Mosley was coming from a long layoff when he fought Floyd Mayweather Jr. in May last year. And as far as the Sergio Mora fight, which he clearly won in the eyes of many, one can argue about how motivated Mosley was for that one. Mosley’s girlfriend Bella Gonzalez was quoted saying Mosley had several distractions and personal issues that affected him in 2010 and guaranteed the best Shane on May 7.
Excuses? Maybe. But that’s besides the point.
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I guess you don’t even have to buy into any of that, because truth is, Mosley has tools to shock Pacquiao and the world. I don’t expect Mosley to try and outbox or outpoint Pacquiao. I firmly believe he will be going for the KO from the get go as he stated. His age and Pacquiao’s speed and perpetual punching makes going for the decision win a reluctant option. One punch is all it takes, and Mosley has exactly that– which both Clottey and Margarito before him didn’t– in his right hand.
That overhand right comes at you fast, and even the most skilled defensive fighters can get caught by it. Just ask Pretty Boy Floyd. Mayweather was seeing stars in the second round of his fight against Mosley. Unfortunately for Mosley, he wasn’t able to capitalize on that opportunity. The perfect gameplan can definitely derail the Pac Man, and Mosley is a capable weapon to execute such a plan. He has speed, power and can take a punch. It’s a matter of staying disciplined and waiting for your opportunities as Marquez did against him. Pacquiao is not the most disciplined of fighters. He is great, but he can get impatient and careless at times inside the ring. He gives any big puncher a chance, and if you ask me, Mosley is definitely the biggest puncher he’s ever had to face. Think about it.
Styles make fights. Mayweather’s style poses difficulties for fighters like Mosley. Floyd’s defensive style and counterpunching on top of his cat-like reflexes and hit and not get hit mentality made it a long night for Shane. Floyd made him look that much older in the ring with him. Against Pacquiao though, Mosley will get his chances. Pacquiao will give him the gunfight he so wishes. And when that happens, it’s all a matter of execution, determination and some luck.
Everybody puts out their best against Pacquiao. Everybody wants to be the one who say they beat the top dog. Just listen Juan Manuel Marquez who never missed an opportunity to say he beat Pacquiao twice, even when he never did. A win over Pacquiao means multi-millions to any boxer. It’s all about motivation and hunger. And in this boxing game, Pacquiao gives everyone the munchies.
P.S. Except Mayweather.
Dennis ‘dSource’ Guillermo can be reached through e-mail at [email protected]
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