A warm front will move north of the region through this afternoon, ushering in a warm and humid air mass that will stick around through mid-week. The weather will remain unsettled with scattered showers and thunderstorms until a cold front advances east through the region by Thursday afternoon, allowing a drier and more seasonable air mass to return for the coming weekend.
Here is the complete forecast for Albany and the Capital Region of upstate New York:
TODAY – The warm front will lift north of the region into this afternoon with a warm and humid air mass overtaking the region, and isolated showers and thunderstorms developing this afternoon due to lift from the warm front and differential heating in the atmosphere. High temperatures will reach the mid 70’s with a light southerly wind developing.
WEDNESDAY – The region will remain in the warm sector and with the approach of a weak short wave and associated energy, there will be enough instability for strong to severe thunderstorms to develop in the afternoon, especially west of Albany. The storms will tend to track eastward into the evening hours, and could contain a few strong wind gusts and large hail. The Storm Prediction Center has placed our region in a “slight risk” for severe thunderstorms. High temperatures will once again reach the upper 70’s with a bit of a muggy feeling to the air as dew points climb.
THURSDAY – There are some timing differences with the computer models in regards to the speed of the cold front, but it looks like it will be moving through western New York during the morning hours and reach the Capital Region by early to mid afternoon. Another round of showers and thunderstorms, potentially severe, will accompany the frontal passage, with strong winds being the main severe threat. The Storm Prediction Center has our region in a “slight risk” for severe thunderstorms once again. High temperatures will reach the mid 70’s before the cold front arrives, with temperatures dropping into the 40’s through the evening.
OUTLOOK – The cut-off upper level low will cross the region on Friday with skies remaining cloudy and a chance for a few showers lingering, especially north and west of Albany. A few peaks of sun may develop late in the day from Albany on south and east, with high temperatures much cooler in the upper 50’s to low 60’s. High pressure will then build into the region on Friday night and remain in control for Saturday with mostly sunny skies and high temperatures in the mid 60’s. Another frontal system will approach for Sunday with a chance of showers and temperatures in the upper 60’s.
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