A powerful storm system moving out of the Ohio Valley will pass west of the region today into the Great Lakes and drag a cold front through this afternoon with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Windy and cooler weather will return on Thursday, with slightly improving conditions for Friday, before another storm system approaches for the holiday weekend.
Here is the complete forecast for Albany and the Capital Region of upstate New York:
TODAY – A warm front will lift north this morning with rain showers and perhaps some elevated convection which could contain some small hail and a strong wind gust, but there is a lot of uncertainty as to how far north the front will actually get this afternoon and how much sunshine will develop. There are indications that a marine layer may remain trapped near the surface much of the day, which will keep the clouds and cooler temperatures in place. If any breaks were to develop in the clouds, temperatures could soar through the 60’s, otherwise expect high temperatures in the mid to upper 50’s with a south to southeast wind at 10 to 15 mph. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will accompany the cold front passage in the late afternoon and evening, but the storms will remain rather weak unless some greater instability develops from some breaks of sunshine.
THURSDAY – Cold advection will be underway behind the cold front with very windy conditions developing. Skies will become partly sunny with high temperatures in the lower 50’s and a west wind sustained at 15 to 25 mph, possibly gusting as high as 40 mph. A wind advisory may be needed for portions of the region.
FRIDAY – High pressure will slide across the region, and after a cool start to the day, temperatures will rebound into the upper 50’s during the afternoon hours under sunny skies. Clouds will begin to increase on Friday night as the next storm system approaches.
OUTLOOK – A warm front will push into the region on Saturday morning with a chance of rain showers. The rain will shift north during the day as the front lifts into the Adirondacks and high temperatures will reach the upper 50’s. By late Saturday, a cold/occluded front will push through the region and become stationary just to our south along the Pennsylvania/New York border. This could keep things rather unsettled for our Easter Sunday, but there is some disagreement with the computer models and a slight chance that things could dry out late in the day. Otherwise, expect mostly cloudy skies with high temperatures in the lower 60’s. High pressure should try to slide into the region on Monday with dry and seasonable weather before yet another warm front looks to approach by late Monday and into Tuesday with more unsettled weather. There are hints that a warmer pattern may try to develop into next week with temperatures pushing through the 60’s and possibly into the lower 70’s…stay tuned!
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